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Huracán Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Huracán Res.

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-15.2%0-22.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.1%1-110.1%1-24.2%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.8%2-19.8%2-24.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.6%3-16.3%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-14.8%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 20.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 56% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%

#2 1–1 10.1%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracán Res.1.9

Belgrano Córdoba Res.0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACÁN RES. · PPG 1.60

BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.11 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Huracán Res. (H) 56.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Belgrano Córdoba Res. (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracán Res. face Belgrano Córdoba Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracán Res. a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Belgrano Córdoba Res. 21%, so Huracán Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Huracán Res. and 0.8 for Belgrano Córdoba Res. (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracán Res. are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Belgrano Córdoba Res..

Huracán Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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