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Shortan vs Respublika FA Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Regular Season - 12 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 14:00

Shortan

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Respublika FA

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-19.4%0-24.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.2%1-112.8%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-18.7%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.4%3-13.9%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 24.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 46% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 10.4%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shortan1.4

Respublika FA0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SHORTAN · PPG 1.83

RESPUBLIKA FA · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.26 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shortan (H) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Respublika FA (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shortan face Respublika FA in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shortan a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Respublika FA 26%, so Shortan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shortan and 0.9 for Respublika FA (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shortan are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.83 for Respublika FA.

Shortan vs Respublika FA Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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