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Pakhtakor II vs Olimpik-Mobiuz Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Regular Season - 12 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 14:00

Pakhtakor II

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Olimpik-Mobiuz

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.22 for Away, form 0.00 vs 1.17

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-18.2%0-211.8%0-311.4%0-4+16.8%1 1-01.9%1-15.5%1-28.0%1-37.7%1-4+11.3%2 2-00.6%2-11.8%2-22.7%2-32.6%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 70.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 70.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob52.6%

A 70% / xG 0.7-2.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.8%

#2 0–3 11.4%

#3 0–4 8.3%

#4 1–2 8.0%

#5 1–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pakhtakor II0.7

Olimpik-Mobiuz2.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PAKHTAKOR II · PPG 0.00

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.22 for Away, form 0.00 vs 1.17

Win probability 1X2

Pakhtakor II (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Olimpik-Mobiuz (A) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pakhtakor II face Olimpik-Mobiuz in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pakhtakor II a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Olimpik-Mobiuz 70%, so Olimpik-Mobiuz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pakhtakor II and 2.9 for Olimpik-Mobiuz (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pakhtakor II are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Olimpik-Mobiuz.

Pakhtakor II vs Olimpik-Mobiuz Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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