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Atlético Nacional W vs Deportivo Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 20:00

Atlético Nacional W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Cali W

PPG 2.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.1 puts the goal expectation near the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-19.7%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.5%1-112.6%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-18.2%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.5%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 12.7%

#2 1–0 16.5%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atlético Nacional W1.3

Deportivo Cali W0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLÉTICO NACIONAL W · PPG 3.00

DEPORTIVO CALI W · PPG 2.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Atlético Nacional W (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Cali W (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlético Nacional W face Deportivo Cali W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlético Nacional W a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Deportivo Cali W 28%, so Atlético Nacional W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atlético Nacional W and 0.8 for Deportivo Cali W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlético Nacional W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.43 for Deportivo Cali W.

Atlético Nacional W vs Deportivo Cali W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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