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Deportivo Pasto W vs La Equidad W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 20:00

Deportivo Pasto W

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

La Equidad W

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-110.1%0-27.6%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.1%1-112.1%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.8%2-17.2%2-25.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.9%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.8% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 42.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.9% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Pasto W1.2

La Equidad W1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO PASTO W · PPG 0.71

LA EQUIDAD W · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Pasto W (H) 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

La Equidad W (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Pasto W face La Equidad W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Pasto W a 33% chance, the draw 25% and La Equidad W 42%, so La Equidad W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Deportivo Pasto W and 1.5 for La Equidad W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Pasto W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.29 for La Equidad W.

Deportivo Pasto W vs La Equidad W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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