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Santa Fe W vs Real Santander W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:00

Santa Fe W

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Real Santander W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.47 for Home, form 1.83 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-11.3%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.1%1-13.4%1-20.4%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.2%2-14.7%2-20.6%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-017.3%3-14.2%3-20.5%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-022.6%4+-15.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.1% — — —

Draw 17.7% — — —

Away win 7.2% — — —

Over 2.5 56.5% — — —

Over 3.5 35.1% — — —

BTTS 32.6% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob32.6%

H 75% / xG 2.7-0.2 / O2.5 56% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 19.2%

#2 3–0 17.3%

#3 1–0 14.1%

#4 4–0 11.7%

#5 5–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santa Fe W2.7

Real Santander W0.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.5% · O3.5 PROB 35.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTA FE W · PPG 1.83

REAL SANTANDER W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.47 for Home, form 1.83 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Santa Fe W (H) 75.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Real Santander W (A) 7.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santa Fe W face Real Santander W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santa Fe W a 75% chance, the draw 18% and Real Santander W 7%, so Santa Fe W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Santa Fe W and 0.2 for Real Santander W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santa Fe W are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.33 for Real Santander W.

Santa Fe W vs Real Santander W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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