Today / Colombia - Liga Femenina / La Equidad W vs Fortaleza W

La Equidad W vs Fortaleza W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 14 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 19:00

La Equidad W logo
La Equidad W
PPG 2.17 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Fortaleza W logo
Fortaleza W
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.53 for Home, form 2.17 vs 1.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-13.9%0-21.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.1%1-18.4%1-22.7%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.2%2-19.1%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.3%3-16.5%3-22.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.2%4+-15.8%4+-21.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 64.4%
Draw 21.3%
Away win 14.3%
Over 2.5 53.9%
Over 3.5 32.8%
BTTS 48.5%
Home O1.5 61.8%
Away O1.5 19.5%

League track record

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 80%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.2%
#2 1–0 13.1%
#3 3–0 10.3%
#4 1–1 8.4%
#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

La Equidad W2.2
Fortaleza W0.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LA EQUIDAD W · PPG 2.17

FORTALEZA W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.53 for Home, form 2.17 vs 1.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

La Equidad W (H) 64.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fortaleza W (A) 14.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

La Equidad W face Fortaleza W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives La Equidad W a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Fortaleza W 14%, so La Equidad W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for La Equidad W and 0.6 for Fortaleza W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, La Equidad W are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.33 for Fortaleza W.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org