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Deportivo Pasto W vs Once Caldas W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 20:00

Deportivo Pasto W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Once Caldas W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-110.6%0-23.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.1%1-112.0%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.3%2-16.8%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-12.5%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 39.3% — — —

Over 3.5 19.7% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.7%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 1–0 20.1%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Pasto W1.1

Once Caldas W0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO PASTO W · PPG 0.33

ONCE CALDAS W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.53 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Pasto W (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Once Caldas W (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Pasto W face Once Caldas W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Pasto W a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Once Caldas W 24%, so Deportivo Pasto W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Deportivo Pasto W and 0.6 for Once Caldas W (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Pasto W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.33 for Once Caldas W.

Deportivo Pasto W vs Once Caldas W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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