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Once Caldas W vs Internacional Palmira W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 20:00

Once Caldas W

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Internacional Palmira W

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.2%0-117.0%0-28.9%0-33.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.5%1-113.1%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.8%2-15.1%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.2%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.1% 23.8% 4.20 +39.0%

Draw 31.8% 32.3% 3.10 -1.4%

Away win 35.1% 54.1% 1.85 -35.1%

Over 2.5 37.3% 43.5% 2.30 -14.2%

Over 3.5 17.9% 23.1% 4.33 -13.5%

BTTS 45.4% 50.0% 2.00 -9.2%

Home O1.5 32.6% 25.6% 3.90 +27.1%

Away O1.5 36.2% 46.5% 2.15 -22.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.4%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.2%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–1 17.0%

#4 1–0 12.5%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Once Caldas W0.8

Internacional Palmira W1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ONCE CALDAS W · PPG 0.71

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA W · PPG 1.86

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.28, combined xG 1.82 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Once Caldas W (H) 33.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +39.0%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -1.4%

Internacional Palmira W (A) 35.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -35.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Once Caldas W face Internacional Palmira W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Once Caldas W a 33% chance, the draw 32% and Internacional Palmira W 35%, so Internacional Palmira W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Once Caldas W and 1.0 for Internacional Palmira W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Once Caldas W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.86 for Internacional Palmira W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.1%.

Once Caldas W vs Internacional Palmira W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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