Today / Colombia - Liga Femenina / Real Santander W vs Orsomarso W

Real Santander W vs Orsomarso W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 20:30

Real Santander W

PPG 0.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Orsomarso W

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.3%0-119.8%0-27.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.3%1-111.5%1-24.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.5%2-13.4%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.9%3-10.7%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% — — —

Draw 37.4% — — —

Away win 32.0% — — —

Over 2.5 31.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.1% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.5%

D 37% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.3%

#2 0–1 19.8%

#3 1–0 15.3%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Santander W0.6

Orsomarso W0.8

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL SANTANDER W · PPG 0.71

ORSOMARSO W · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 1.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Real Santander W (H) 30.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Orsomarso W (A) 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Santander W face Orsomarso W in Colombia - Liga Femenina on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Santander W a 31% chance, the draw 37% and Orsomarso W 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Real Santander W and 0.8 for Orsomarso W (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Santander W are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 0.57 for Orsomarso W.

Real Santander W vs Orsomarso W Prediction— Colombia - Liga Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Colombia - Liga Femenina Predictions