Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland / Torns vs Staffanstorp United

Torns vs Staffanstorp United Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland · Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 17:00

Torns

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Staffanstorp United

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-13.0%0-23.6%0-32.9%0-4+3.0%1 1-02.5%1-16.0%1-27.2%1-35.7%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-27.1%2-35.6%2-4+5.9%3 3-01.6%3-13.9%3-24.7%3-33.7%3-4+3.9%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-13.0%4+-23.6%4+-32.9%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 45.9% 2.18 -22.4%

Draw 21.6% 29.4% 3.40 -15.9%

Away win 42.8% 38.0% 2.63 +12.6%

Over 2.5 68.1% 69.0% 1.45 -1.3%

Over 3.5 48.3% 47.2% 2.12 +2.4%

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -18.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob70.3%

A 43% / xG 2.0-2.4 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.2%

#2 2–2 7.1%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 2–1 5.9%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torns2.0

Staffanstorp United2.4

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TORNS · PPG 1.00

STAFFANSTORP UNITED · PPG 1.14

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torns (H) 35.6%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -22.4%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.9%

Staffanstorp United (A) 42.8%

ODDS 2.63 · IMPLIED 38.0% EV +12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torns face Staffanstorp United in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torns a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Staffanstorp United 43%, so Staffanstorp United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Torns and 2.4 for Staffanstorp United (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torns are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Staffanstorp United. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.4%.

Torns vs Staffanstorp United Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Predictions