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Lilla Torg vs Oskarshamns AIK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Lilla Torg

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oskarshamns AIK

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-110.5%0-27.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.4%1-112.7%1-28.5%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.7%2-17.6%2-25.1%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.3%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 24.4% 4.10 +64.4%

Draw 26.5% 27.8% 3.60 -2.8%

Away win 33.5% 61.3% 1.63 -45.4%

Over 2.5 50.4% 64.9% 1.54 -22.4%

Over 3.5 28.9% 42.9% 2.33 -19.6%

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 33.0% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 30%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -18.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

A 34% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 0–1 10.5%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lilla Torg1.2

Oskarshamns AIK1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LILLA TORG · PPG 1.71

OSKARSHAMNS AIK · PPG 1.14

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lilla Torg (H) 40.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +64.4%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.8%

Oskarshamns AIK (A) 33.5%

ODDS 1.63 · IMPLIED 61.3% EV -45.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lilla Torg face Oskarshamns AIK in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lilla Torg a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Oskarshamns AIK 34%, so Lilla Torg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Lilla Torg and 1.3 for Oskarshamns AIK (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lilla Torg are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.14 for Oskarshamns AIK.

Lilla Torg vs Oskarshamns AIK Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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