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Sandefjord II vs Gjøvik-Lyn Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Sandefjord II

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gjøvik-Lyn

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.9%0-24.9%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.5%1-111.9%1-27.4%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.0%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.7%3-14.6%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 54.3% — — —

Over 3.5 32.6% — — —

BTTS 59.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.3%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.3%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord II1.5

Gjøvik-Lyn1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD II · PPG 2.17

GJØVIK-LYN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord II (H) 46.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gjøvik-Lyn (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord II face Gjøvik-Lyn in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord II a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Gjøvik-Lyn 29%, so Sandefjord II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sandefjord II and 1.2 for Gjøvik-Lyn (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord II are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.67 for Gjøvik-Lyn.

Sandefjord II vs Gjøvik-Lyn Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions