Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Råde vs Bjørkelangen

Råde vs Bjørkelangen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Råde

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bjørkelangen

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +5.18 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-10.5%1-20.2%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-02.1%2-11.6%2-20.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.1%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-038.6%4+-130.3%4+-211.9%4+-33.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 81.1% — — —

Draw 11.5% — — —

Away win 7.4% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 58.1% — — —

Home O1.5 80.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)6.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob58.1%

H 81% / xG 6.0-0.8 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 7.4%

#2 4–0 6.2%

#3 5–1 5.8%

#4 4–1 4.8%

#5 3–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Råde6.0

Bjørkelangen0.8

COMBINED 6.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RÅDE · PPG 2.17

BJØRKELANGEN · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +5.18 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Råde (H) 81.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bjørkelangen (A) 7.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Råde face Bjørkelangen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Råde a 81% chance, the draw 12% and Bjørkelangen 7%, so Råde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 6.0 for Råde and 0.8 for Bjørkelangen (6.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Råde are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.00 for Bjørkelangen.

Råde vs Bjørkelangen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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