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Ørn Horten vs Raelingen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Ørn Horten

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Raelingen

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.8%0-20.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.0%1-12.9%1-22.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.5%2 2-03.9%2-15.5%2-23.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.9%3-17.0%3-25.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-012.7%4+-118.1%4+-212.9%4+-36.1%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 18.5% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 61.7% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob70.3%

H 65% / xG 3.8-1.4 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.0%

#2 4–1 6.7%

#3 2–1 5.5%

#4 5–1 5.1%

#5 3–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ørn Horten3.8

Raelingen1.4

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 61.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ØRN HORTEN · PPG 2.17

RAELINGEN · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.39 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ørn Horten (H) 64.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Raelingen (A) 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ørn Horten face Raelingen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ørn Horten a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Raelingen 19%, so Ørn Horten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Ørn Horten and 1.4 for Raelingen (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ørn Horten are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.50 for Raelingen.

Ørn Horten vs Raelingen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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