Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Lyn II vs Oppsal

Lyn II vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 17:00

Lyn II

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oppsal

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.5%0-24.3%0-32.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.3%1-19.8%1-27.6%1-34.0%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.4%3-15.2%3-24.1%3-32.1%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.5%4+-22.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -38.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 43% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn II1.8

Oppsal1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN II · PPG 1.67

OPPSAL · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lyn II (H) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oppsal (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn II face Oppsal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn II a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Oppsal 35%, so Lyn II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lyn II and 1.6 for Oppsal (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn II are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.40 for Oppsal.

Lyn II vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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