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Drøbak / Frogn vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:00

Drøbak / Frogn

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brumunddal

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.30 for Home, form 1.40 vs 0.20 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.6%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.5%1-15.1%1-22.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.0%2-17.8%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.3%3-18.0%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-017.0%4+-113.2%4+-25.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 10.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.4% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.4%

H 72% / xG 3.1-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.3%

#2 2–0 10.0%

#3 3–1 8.0%

#4 4–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Drøbak / Frogn3.1

Brumunddal0.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DRØBAK / FROGN · PPG 1.40

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.30 for Home, form 1.40 vs 0.20 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Drøbak / Frogn (H) 71.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brumunddal (A) 10.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Drøbak / Frogn face Brumunddal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Drøbak / Frogn a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Brumunddal 10%, so Drøbak / Frogn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Drøbak / Frogn and 0.8 for Brumunddal (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Drøbak / Frogn are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.20 for Brumunddal.

Drøbak / Frogn vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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