Today / Lithuania - 1 Lyga / Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas

Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Matchday 18 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 15:00

Transinvest 2

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Babrungas

PPG 2.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-116.1%0-217.0%0-311.9%0-4+10.2%1 1-03.5%1-17.5%1-27.9%1-35.5%1-4+4.8%2 2-00.8%2-11.7%2-21.8%2-31.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.5% 12.5% 8.00 0.0%

Draw 21.2% 18.2% 5.50 +10.0%

Away win 66.3% 80.0% 1.25 -17.1%

Over 2.5 50.4% 66.7% 1.50 -24.4%

Over 3.5 28.9% 43.9% 2.28 -20.5%

BTTS 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Home O1.5 32.6% 26.3% 3.80 +23.9%

Away O1.5 54.5% 75.2% 1.33 -27.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -43.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob45.4%

A 66% / xG 0.5-2.1 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 17.0%

#2 0–1 16.1%

#3 0–3 11.9%

#4 0–0 7.6%

#5 1–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Transinvest 20.5

Babrungas2.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TRANSINVEST 2 · PPG 0.75

BABRUNGAS · PPG 2.43

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.64 for Away, form 0.75 vs 2.43

Win probability 1X2

Transinvest 2 (H) 12.5%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV 0.0%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +10.0%

Babrungas (A) 66.3%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -17.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Transinvest 2 face Babrungas in Lithuania - 1 Lyga on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Transinvest 2 a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Babrungas 66%, so Babrungas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Transinvest 2 and 2.1 for Babrungas (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Transinvest 2 are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.43 for Babrungas. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +23.9%.

Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Lithuania - 1 Lyga Predictions