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Dainava vs Transinvest 2 Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Regular Season - 17 ·Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 15:00

Dainava

PPG 2.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Transinvest 2

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.46 for Home, form 2.57 vs 1.12 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-11.6%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.2%1-14.7%1-21.4%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.4%2-17.2%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.6%3-17.3%3-22.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-020.3%4+-111.7%4+-23.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.3% 80.6% 1.24 -9.1%

Draw 17.3% 18.9% 5.30 -5.0%

Away win 9.5% 11.8% 8.50 -11.6%

Over 2.5 66.0% 73.5% 1.36 -10.2%

Over 3.5 42.1% 52.1% 1.92 -19.2%

BTTS 48.5% 58.1% 1.72 -16.6%

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -36.6%

Bet Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 73% / xG 3.0-0.6 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.6%

#2 2–0 12.4%

#3 4–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 8.2%

#5 3–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dainava3.0

Transinvest 20.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DAINAVA · PPG 2.57

TRANSINVEST 2 · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.46 for Home, form 2.57 vs 1.12 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dainava (H) 73.3%

ODDS 1.24 · IMPLIED 80.6% EV -9.1%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV -5.0%

Transinvest 2 (A) 9.5%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dainava face Transinvest 2 in Lithuania - 1 Lyga on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dainava a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Transinvest 2 10%, so Dainava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Dainava and 0.6 for Transinvest 2 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dainava are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.12 for Transinvest 2.

Dainava vs Transinvest 2 Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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