Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II
New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.1%
Form & verdict
NEW YORK CITY II · PPG 1.75
PHILADELPHIA UNION II · PPG 1.00
xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
New York City II face Philadelphia Union II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York City II a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union II 24%, so New York City II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for New York City II and 1.0 for Philadelphia Union II (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York City II are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Philadelphia Union II.