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Zürich II vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Zürich II

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Biel-Bienne

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.7%0-24.2%0-32.5%0-4+1.6%1 1-04.9%1-18.8%1-27.8%1-34.6%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.6%2-18.1%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.8%3-15.0%3-24.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.5%4+-23.1%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 33.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 76%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.1%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zürich II1.9

Biel-Bienne1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZÜRICH II · PPG 1.14

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zürich II (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Biel-Bienne (A) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zürich II face Biel-Bienne in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zürich II a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Biel-Bienne 34%, so Zürich II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Zürich II and 1.8 for Biel-Bienne (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zürich II are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.48 for Biel-Bienne.

Zürich II vs Biel-Bienne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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