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Cham vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Cham

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Breitenrain

PPG 0.99 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-14.2%0-22.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.7%1-18.9%1-25.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.1%3-16.8%3-24.5%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-15.9%4+-23.9%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 76%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cham2.1

Breitenrain1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CHAM · PPG 1.64

BREITENRAIN · PPG 0.99

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cham (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Breitenrain (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cham face Breitenrain in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cham a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Breitenrain 24%, so Cham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Cham and 1.3 for Breitenrain (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cham are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.99 for Breitenrain.

Cham vs Breitenrain Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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