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Kreuzlingen vs Basel II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Kreuzlingen

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Basel II

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.5%0-25.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.6%1-110.4%1-28.2%1-34.3%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.4%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.9%3-14.6%3-23.6%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.6%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 34.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 76%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.1%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kreuzlingen1.6

Basel II1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.33

BASEL II · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kreuzlingen (H) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Basel II (A) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kreuzlingen face Basel II in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kreuzlingen a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Basel II 35%, so Kreuzlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kreuzlingen and 1.6 for Basel II (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kreuzlingen are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.52 for Basel II.

Kreuzlingen vs Basel II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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