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Bruhl vs Basel B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Bruhl

PPG 2.63 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Basel B

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs P(Home)=52.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.1%0-22.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.2%1-17.5%1-25.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.2%2-18.9%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.0%3-17.1%3-25.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-17.6%4+-25.4%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 69.1% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 53% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bruhl2.4

Basel B1.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUHL · PPG 2.63

BASEL B · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs P(Home)=52.6%

Win probability 1X2

Bruhl (H) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Basel B (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bruhl face Basel B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bruhl a 53% chance, the draw 21% and Basel B 27%, so Bruhl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Bruhl and 1.4 for Basel B (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bruhl are averaging 2.63 points per game versus 1.63 for Basel B. This match finished 1-0.

Bruhl vs Basel B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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