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Kreuzlingen vs Lugano B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Kreuzlingen

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lugano B

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.4%0-23.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.8%1-18.8%1-26.8%1-33.4%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.0%3-16.1%3-24.6%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.9%4+-23.8%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 60.2% — — —

Away O1.5 45.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kreuzlingen2.0

Lugano B1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.25

LUGANO B · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Kreuzlingen (H) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lugano B (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kreuzlingen face Lugano B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kreuzlingen a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Lugano B 28%, so Kreuzlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kreuzlingen and 1.5 for Lugano B (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kreuzlingen are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.88 for Lugano B. This match finished 1-1.

Kreuzlingen vs Lugano B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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