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Brühl vs Young Boys II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:30

Brühl

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Young Boys II

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-12.9%0-22.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.3%1-17.2%1-24.9%1-32.2%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.6%2-19.0%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.5%3-17.4%3-25.1%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-18.4%4+-25.7%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.7% 66.7% 1.50 -16.4%

Draw 21.8% 22.7% 4.40 -2.5%

Away win 22.5% 21.7% 4.60 +2.1%

Over 2.5 67.0% 76.9% 1.30 -12.9%

Over 3.5 44.8% 56.5% 1.77 -20.7%

BTTS 63.5% 73.5% 1.36 -13.6%

Home O1.5 64.0% 76.9% 1.30 -16.8%

Away O1.5 43.7% 43.5% 2.30 +0.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 76%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 56% / xG 2.5-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brühl2.5

Young Boys II1.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRÜHL · PPG 2.25

YOUNG BOYS II · PPG 1.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.13 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brühl (H) 55.7%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -16.4%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -2.5%

Young Boys II (A) 22.5%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brühl face Young Boys II in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brühl a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Young Boys II 23%, so Brühl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Brühl and 1.4 for Young Boys II (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brühl are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.60 for Young Boys II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.1%.

Brühl vs Young Boys II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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