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Paradiso vs FC Schaffhausen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Paradiso

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Schaffhausen

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.5%0-24.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.0%1-110.0%1-27.2%1-33.5%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.9%3-15.6%3-24.0%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.8%4+-22.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.3% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 51.1% — — —

Away O1.5 44.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 76%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.1%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paradiso1.8

FC Schaffhausen1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PARADISO · PPG 1.29

FC SCHAFFHAUSEN · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Paradiso (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Schaffhausen (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paradiso face FC Schaffhausen in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paradiso a 49% chance, the draw 23% and FC Schaffhausen 28%, so Paradiso are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Paradiso and 1.4 for FC Schaffhausen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paradiso are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.33 for FC Schaffhausen.

Paradiso vs FC Schaffhausen Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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