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Santos W vs Juventude W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Santos W logo
Santos W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Juventude W logo
Juventude W
PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.8%0-112.0%0-23.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.7%1-111.9%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.3%2-15.9%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.4%3-12.0%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.5%
Draw 30.9%
Away win 25.6%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 17.1%
BTTS 45.0%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 17.4%

League track record

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -51.5%
Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.0%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.8%
#2 1–0 20.7%
#3 1–1 11.9%
#4 2–0 10.3%
#5 0–1 12.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santos W1.0
Juventude W0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTOS W · PPG 1.33

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.42, combined xG 1.57 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Santos W (H) 43.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Juventude W (A) 25.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Santos W face Juventude W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santos W a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Juventude W 26%, so Santos W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Santos W and 0.6 for Juventude W (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santos W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.86 for Juventude W.

PredictVantage

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