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Bahia W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 22:00

Bahia W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Botafogo W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.12 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-12.2%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.7%1-15.9%1-21.8%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.3%2-18.1%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.0%3-17.3%3-22.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-015.9%4+-19.6%4+-22.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 10.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.0% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -21.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 72% / xG 2.7-0.6 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.3%

#2 3–0 12.0%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 4–0 8.2%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bahia W2.7

Botafogo W0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BAHIA W · PPG 2.00

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.12 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bahia W (H) 71.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Botafogo W (A) 10.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bahia W face Botafogo W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bahia W a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Botafogo W 10%, so Bahia W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Bahia W and 0.6 for Botafogo W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bahia W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Botafogo W.

Bahia W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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