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Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Cruzeiro W

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Botafogo W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.33 for Home, form 1.86 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-11.7%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.3%1-15.1%1-21.6%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.2%2-17.6%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.0%3-17.5%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-018.3%4+-111.4%4+-23.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.2% — — —

Draw 17.7% — — —

Away win 9.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -51.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 73% / xG 3.0-0.6 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.2%

#2 3–0 12.0%

#3 4–0 8.9%

#4 2–1 7.6%

#5 3–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cruzeiro W3.0

Botafogo W0.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CRUZEIRO W · PPG 1.86

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.33 for Home, form 1.86 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Cruzeiro W (H) 73.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Botafogo W (A) 9.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cruzeiro W face Botafogo W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cruzeiro W a 73% chance, the draw 18% and Botafogo W 9%, so Cruzeiro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Cruzeiro W and 0.6 for Botafogo W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cruzeiro W are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.00 for Botafogo W.

Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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