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Fluminense W vs RB Bragantino W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Fluminense W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

RB Bragantino W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.7% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-17.8%0-24.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.0%1-112.0%1-27.1%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.2%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.0%3-14.7%3-22.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 40.8% 2.45 +13.0%

Draw 24.8% 33.3% 3.00 -15.4%

Away win 29.1% 35.7% 2.80 -11.1%

Over 2.5 53.4% 47.6% 2.10 +12.1%

Over 3.5 32.5% 27.0% 3.70 +20.3%

BTTS 56.7% 56.5% 1.77 +0.4%

Home O1.5 45.4% 40.8% 2.45 +11.2%

Away O1.5 36.5% 37.7% 2.65 -3.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -51.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob56.7%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.5%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fluminense W1.5

RB Bragantino W1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FLUMINENSE W · PPG 1.33

RB BRAGANTINO W · PPG 1.40

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fluminense W (H) 46.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +13.0%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -15.4%

RB Bragantino W (A) 29.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fluminense W face RB Bragantino W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fluminense W a 46% chance, the draw 25% and RB Bragantino W 29%, so Fluminense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fluminense W and 1.2 for RB Bragantino W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fluminense W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.40 for RB Bragantino W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.3%.

Fluminense W vs RB Bragantino W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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