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Vitória BA W vs São Paulo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 00:00

Vitória BA W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

São Paulo W

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.35 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-113.1%0-213.4%0-39.2%0-4+7.5%1 1-04.5%1-19.2%1-29.4%1-36.4%1-4+5.3%2 2-01.6%2-13.2%2-23.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.3% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 61.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 50.8% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -51.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob50.8%

A 61% / xG 0.7-2.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 1–1 9.2%

#4 1–2 9.4%

#5 0–3 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitória BA W0.7

São Paulo W2.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 1.00

SÃO PAULO W · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.35 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vitória BA W (H) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Paulo W (A) 61.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitória BA W face São Paulo W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitória BA W a 15% chance, the draw 24% and São Paulo W 61%, so São Paulo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Vitória BA W and 2.1 for São Paulo W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitória BA W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for São Paulo W.

Vitória BA W vs São Paulo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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