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Palmeiras W vs Internacional RS W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Palmeiras W

PPG 2.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Internacional RS W

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-16.7%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.6%1-110.9%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-18.8%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.3%3-14.8%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-12.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% 69.0% 1.45 -20.8%

Draw 24.1% 25.6% 3.90 -3.6%

Away win 21.2% 15.4% 6.50 +22.7%

Over 2.5 50.4% 54.1% 1.85 -6.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 31.3% 3.20 -4.5%

BTTS 48.7% 51.3% 1.95 -5.0%

Home O1.5 49.4% 62.5% 1.60 -21.0%

Away O1.5 20.3% 22.2% 4.50 -5.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -51.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 55% / xG 1.6-0.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.6%

#2 2–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Palmeiras W1.6

Internacional RS W0.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PALMEIRAS W · PPG 2.43

INTERNACIONAL RS W · PPG 2.17

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Palmeiras W (H) 54.6%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -20.8%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.6%

Internacional RS W (A) 21.2%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +22.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Palmeiras W face Internacional RS W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Palmeiras W a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Internacional RS W 21%, so Palmeiras W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Palmeiras W and 0.7 for Internacional RS W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Palmeiras W are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 2.17 for Internacional RS W. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +13.6%.

Palmeiras W vs Internacional RS W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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