Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Brattvåg vs Mjondalen

Brattvåg vs Mjondalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:00

Brattvåg

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mjondalen

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.8% vs bookmaker-implied 48.8% — a clear edge.

+12.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-15.9%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.0%1-110.8%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.7%3-16.0%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-14.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.8% 48.8% 2.05 +12.3%

Draw 24.9% 27.4% 3.65 -5.5%

Away win 20.4% 33.9% 2.95 -23.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 64.5% 1.55 -16.4%

Over 3.5 32.8% 42.0% 2.38 -21.9%

BTTS 52.3% 69.0% 1.45 -24.2%

Home O1.5 54.7% 57.1% 1.75 -4.3%

Away O1.5 24.7% 45.5% 2.20 -27.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brattvåg1.8

Mjondalen0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRATTVÅG · PPG 2.40

MJONDALEN · PPG 1.17

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brattvåg (H) 54.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +12.3%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -5.5%

Mjondalen (A) 20.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -23.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brattvåg face Mjondalen in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brattvåg a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Mjondalen 20%, so Brattvåg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Brattvåg and 0.9 for Mjondalen (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brattvåg are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.17 for Mjondalen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.7%.

Brattvåg vs Mjondalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions