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Häcken W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

Häcken W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eskilstuna United W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 63.4% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-14.8%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.5%1-18.9%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-016.2%2-18.2%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.0%3-15.1%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-13.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.4% 83.3% 1.20 -23.9%

Draw 21.4% 18.2% 5.50 +10.6%

Away win 15.2% 9.1% 11.00 +40.3%

Over 2.5 50.4% 66.7% 1.50 -24.4%

Over 3.5 28.9% 47.6% 2.10 -23.6%

BTTS 45.4% 51.3% 1.95 -11.5%

Home O1.5 53.6% 75.2% 1.33 -28.7%

Away O1.5 17.4% 22.2% 4.50 -13.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.4%

H 63% / xG 1.8-0.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.2%

#2 1–0 17.5%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 1–1 8.9%

#5 3–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Häcken W1.8

Eskilstuna United W0.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HÄCKEN W · PPG 3.00

ESKILSTUNA UNITED W · PPG 1.40

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.34 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Häcken W (H) 63.4%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -23.9%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +10.6%

Eskilstuna United W (A) 15.2%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +40.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Häcken W face Eskilstuna United W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Häcken W a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Eskilstuna United W 15%, so Häcken W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Häcken W and 0.5 for Eskilstuna United W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Häcken W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Eskilstuna United W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +29.5%.

Häcken W vs Eskilstuna United W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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