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Okzhetpes vs Altay Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:00

Okzhetpes

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Altay

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-15.7%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.0%1-110.4%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.9%2-19.5%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.8%3-15.8%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-14.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 52.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.6%

H 56% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.9%

#2 1–0 14.0%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Okzhetpes1.8

Altay0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OKZHETPES · PPG 1.90

ALTAY · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Okzhetpes (H) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Altay (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Okzhetpes face Altay in Kazakhstan - Premier League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Okzhetpes a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Altay 22%, so Okzhetpes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Okzhetpes and 0.7 for Altay (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Okzhetpes are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.89 for Altay.

Okzhetpes vs Altay Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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