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Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 10:30

Ansan Greeners

PPG 0.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gimhae City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-18.5%0-25.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.9%1-112.3%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-18.8%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.4%3-14.2%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.1%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% 33.9% 2.95 +19.2%

Draw 25.3% 30.3% 3.30 -9.9%

Away win 34.3% 44.4% 2.25 -22.8%

Over 2.5 53.4% 52.6% 1.90 +1.5%

Over 3.5 32.2% 31.3% 3.20 +3.0%

BTTS 55.4% 59.9% 1.67 -7.5%

Home O1.5 45.4% 38.5% 2.60 +18.0%

Away O1.5 36.5% 46.5% 2.15 -21.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.5%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 0–0 6.9%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ansan Greeners1.4

Gimhae City1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ANSAN GREENERS · PPG 0.64

GIMHAE CITY · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ansan Greeners (H) 40.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +19.2%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.9%

Gimhae City (A) 34.3%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -22.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ansan Greeners face Gimhae City in South Korea - K League 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ansan Greeners a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Gimhae City 34%, so Ansan Greeners are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ansan Greeners and 1.2 for Gimhae City (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ansan Greeners are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 1.00 for Gimhae City. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +20.4%.

Ansan Greeners vs Gimhae City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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