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Kubikenborg vs Skellefteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:00

Kubikenborg

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skellefteå

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-111.7%0-28.8%0-34.4%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.2%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.3%2-16.5%2-24.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.5%3-12.3%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

Draw 25.2% 27.4% 3.65 -4.8%

Away win 42.7% 46.5% 2.15 -8.2%

Over 2.5 53.4% 63.7% 1.57 -16.2%

Over 3.5 32.2% 41.7% 2.40 -22.7%

BTTS 55.4% 69.0% 1.45 -19.7%

Home O1.5 32.6% 47.6% 2.10 -31.5%

Away O1.5 48.0% 55.6% 1.80 -13.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -34.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 0–0 7.7%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kubikenborg1.1

Skellefteå1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KUBIKENBORG · PPG 2.17

SKELLEFTEÅ · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kubikenborg (H) 32.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.1%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -4.8%

Skellefteå (A) 42.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kubikenborg face Skellefteå in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kubikenborg a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Skellefteå 43%, so Skellefteå are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kubikenborg and 1.5 for Skellefteå (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kubikenborg are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.33 for Skellefteå.

Kubikenborg vs Skellefteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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