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Täfteå vs Gottne Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Täfteå

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gottne

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.61 for Home, but form 2.17 vs 2.00 doesn't confirm

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.6%0-21.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.3%1-14.8%1-23.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.1%2-17.4%2-25.4%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.2%3-17.6%3-25.6%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-112.5%4+-29.1%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.9% — — —

Draw 16.3% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 46.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -34.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 63% / xG 3.1-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 7.4%

#3 4–1 5.8%

#4 3–2 5.6%

#5 1–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Täfteå3.1

Gottne1.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TÄFTEÅ · PPG 2.17

GOTTNE · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

xG gap +1.61 for Home, but form 2.17 vs 2.00 doesn't confirm

Win probability 1X2

Täfteå (H) 62.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gottne (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Täfteå face Gottne in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Täfteå a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Gottne 21%, so Täfteå are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Täfteå and 1.5 for Gottne (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Täfteå are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.00 for Gottne.

Täfteå vs Gottne Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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