Today / CynthiAlbalonga vs Monastir

CynthiAlbalonga vs Monastir Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

CynthiAlbalonga

PPG 2.07 · HOME

UPCOMING

Monastir

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.4%0-22.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-04.9%1-17.7%1-26.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.2%3-16.6%3-25.2%3-32.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-16.3%4+-25.0%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% — — —

Draw 20.1% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 73.8% — — —

Over 3.5 53.5% — — —

BTTS 71.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob71.1%

H 53% / xG 2.3-1.6 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CynthiAlbalonga2.3

Monastir1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.8% · O3.5 PROB 53.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CYNTHIALBALONGA · PPG 2.07

MONASTIR · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=53.4%

Win probability 1X2

CynthiAlbalonga (H) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Monastir (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CynthiAlbalonga face Monastir on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CynthiAlbalonga a 53% chance, the draw 20% and Monastir 27%, so CynthiAlbalonga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for CynthiAlbalonga and 1.6 for Monastir (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CynthiAlbalonga are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.07 for Monastir.

CynthiAlbalonga vs Monastir Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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