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Mixto W vs Atlético Mineiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 21:00

Mixto W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlético Mineiro W

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-115.1%0-28.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.2%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.4%2-15.9%2-23.3%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.6%3-11.8%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% — — —

Draw 31.5% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -51.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.7%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.1%

#4 1–0 12.2%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mixto W0.9

Atlético Mineiro W1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MIXTO W · PPG 1.00

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO W · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 1.99 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Mixto W (H) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlético Mineiro W (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mixto W face Atlético Mineiro W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mixto W a 33% chance, the draw 32% and Atlético Mineiro W 36%, so Atlético Mineiro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mixto W and 1.1 for Atlético Mineiro W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mixto W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Atlético Mineiro W.

Mixto W vs Atlético Mineiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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