Today / Vivi Altotevere vs S. Trestina

Vivi Altotevere vs S. Trestina Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Vivi Altotevere

PPG 1.07 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

S. Trestina

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-116.7%0-28.3%0-32.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.3%1-113.2%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.3%2-15.2%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% — — —

Draw 32.9% — — —

Away win 39.1% — — —

Over 2.5 26.4% — — —

Over 3.5 10.5% — — —

BTTS 34.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob34.3%

A 39% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 0–1 16.7%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 1–1 13.2%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vivi Altotevere0.8

S. Trestina1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 26.4% · O3.5 PROB 10.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIVI ALTOTEVERE · PPG 1.07

S. TRESTINA · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Vivi Altotevere (H) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Trestina (A) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vivi Altotevere face S. Trestina on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vivi Altotevere a 28% chance, the draw 33% and S. Trestina 39%, so S. Trestina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vivi Altotevere and 1.0 for S. Trestina (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vivi Altotevere are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.13 for S. Trestina. This match finished 3-0.

Vivi Altotevere vs S. Trestina Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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