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NJS vs P-Iirot Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

NJS

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

P-Iirot

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 84.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-19.9%0-210.5%0-37.4%0-4+6.4%1 1-04.4%1-19.4%1-29.9%1-37.0%1-4+6.1%2 2-02.1%2-14.4%2-24.7%2-33.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.7%3-11.4%3-21.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.5% 16.0% 6.25 +5.6%

Draw 23.2% 20.0% 5.00 +9.6%

Away win 59.3% 76.9% 1.30 -22.9%

Over 2.5 63.6% 84.0% 1.19 -24.3%

Over 3.5 40.0% 64.1% 1.56 -37.6%

BTTS 55.4% 69.4% 1.44 -20.2%

Home O1.5 32.6% 41.2% 2.43 -20.8%

Away O1.5 54.5% 84.0% 1.19 -35.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob55.4%

A 59% / xG 0.9-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 0–2 10.5%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.9%

#5 0–3 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NJS0.9

P-Iirot2.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NJS · PPG 0.00

P-IIROT · PPG 0.43

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.18 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

NJS (H) 17.5%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +5.6%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +9.6%

P-Iirot (A) 59.3%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

NJS face P-Iirot in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NJS a 18% chance, the draw 23% and P-Iirot 59%, so P-Iirot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for NJS and 2.1 for P-Iirot (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NJS are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.43 for P-Iirot. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.5%.

NJS vs P-Iirot Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

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