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Gjøvik-Lyn vs Råde Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Gjøvik-Lyn

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Råde

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-15.1%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.2%1-110.1%1-24.5%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.9%2-24.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.2%3-16.5%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-15.0%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.0% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 57% / xG 2.0-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–0 11.0%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.2%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gjøvik-Lyn2.0

Råde0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GJØVIK-LYN · PPG 2.67

RÅDE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.07 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gjøvik-Lyn (H) 57.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Råde (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gjøvik-Lyn face Råde in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gjøvik-Lyn a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Råde 20%, so Gjøvik-Lyn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Gjøvik-Lyn and 0.9 for Råde (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gjøvik-Lyn are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Råde.

Gjøvik-Lyn vs Råde Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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