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Elverum vs Sandefjord II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Elverum

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sandefjord II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.5%0-21.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.7%1-14.6%1-23.8%1-32.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.2%2-17.0%2-25.8%2-33.2%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.2%3-17.1%3-25.9%3-33.3%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-111.4%4+-29.5%4+-35.3%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.1% — — —

Draw 17.4% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 75.4% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.5%

H 59% / xG 3.0-1.7 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 7.0%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 4–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elverum3.0

Sandefjord II1.7

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ELVERUM · PPG 2.50

SANDEFJORD II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Elverum (H) 59.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sandefjord II (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Elverum face Sandefjord II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elverum a 59% chance, the draw 17% and Sandefjord II 24%, so Elverum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Elverum and 1.7 for Sandefjord II (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elverum are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Sandefjord II.

Elverum vs Sandefjord II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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