Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Våg vs Madla
Våg vs Madla Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4
Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 40% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%
Form & verdict
VÅG · PPG 1.71
MADLA · PPG 1.33
xG gap -0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Våg face Madla in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Våg a 37% chance, the draw 23% and Madla 40%, so Madla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Våg and 1.7 for Madla (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Våg are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.33 for Madla.