Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Varhaug vs Hinna
Varhaug vs Hinna Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4
Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:00
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
xG gap +2.28 for Home, but form 0.86 vs 0.57 doesn't confirm
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 63% / xG 3.5-1.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%
Form & verdict
VARHAUG · PPG 0.86
HINNA · PPG 0.57
xG gap +2.28 for Home, but form 0.86 vs 0.57 doesn't confirm
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Varhaug face Hinna in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Varhaug a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Hinna 20%, so Varhaug are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Varhaug and 1.2 for Hinna (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Varhaug are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.57 for Hinna.