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Staal Jørpeland vs Åkra Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Staal Jørpeland

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Åkra

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.5%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.0%1-16.7%1-24.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-18.8%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.9%3-17.7%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-19.6%4+-26.3%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.7% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.0% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 43.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.5%

H 57% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 1–1 6.7%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 3–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Staal Jørpeland2.6

Åkra1.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STAAL JØRPELAND · PPG 1.14

ÅKRA · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Staal Jørpeland (H) 56.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Åkra (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Staal Jørpeland face Åkra in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Staal Jørpeland a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Åkra 22%, so Staal Jørpeland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Staal Jørpeland and 1.3 for Åkra (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Staal Jørpeland are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.57 for Åkra.

Staal Jørpeland vs Åkra Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Match Preview & Prediction

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