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Torslanda vs Galtabacks Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Torslanda

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Galtabacks

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.0%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.1%1-111.4%1-27.1%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.3%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.1%3-15.1%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.0%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 60.1% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.1%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–0 7.4%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torslanda1.6

Galtabacks1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.14

GALTABACKS · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torslanda (H) 48.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Galtabacks (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torslanda face Galtabacks in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torslanda a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Galtabacks 27%, so Torslanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Torslanda and 1.3 for Galtabacks (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torslanda are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.43 for Galtabacks.

Torslanda vs Galtabacks Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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