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Lidingö vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Lidingö

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Angby

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-19.2%0-29.4%0-36.4%0-4+5.2%1 1-04.8%1-19.7%1-29.9%1-36.8%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.5%2-15.2%2-25.3%2-33.6%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.8%3-21.9%3-31.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 55.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -6.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob55.4%

A 55% / xG 1.1-2.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.4%

#4 0–1 9.2%

#5 1–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lidingö1.1

Angby2.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LIDINGÖ · PPG 0.67

ANGBY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.98 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Lidingö (H) 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Angby (A) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lidingö face Angby in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lidingö a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Angby 55%, so Angby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lidingö and 2.0 for Angby (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lidingö are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 2.00 for Angby.

Lidingö vs Angby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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